來源: ESPN
網址:
http://tinyurl.com/y58j8lpb
How James Harden relentlessly attacks Steph Curry
James Harden如何持續不斷的攻擊Steph Curry
Wednesday night marks the 18th time the Golden State Warriors and Houston
Rockets have squared off since 2016-17, and looking back at the data from
those games provides a fascinating glimpse into one of the NBA's most
high-profile matchups: James Harden vs. the Warriors' defense.
星期三的火勇戰會是2016-17賽季以來水火不容的兩隊的第18次碰面,而若是回顧過去雙方
交手的統計資料,經過分析後有了有趣的結果,所以就來看一下NBA最刺激的對決:
James Harden vs勇士的防守
The Rockets love to isolate Harden, but when they play Golden State, it's
more accurate to say that they love to isolate him against Stephen Curry.
Over the past three seasons, nobody has switched onto Harden as much as
Curry, and that's no accident.
火箭很愛讓Harden單打,但是當他們面對勇士時,更正確的說法是他們很愛讓Harden去單
打Stephen Curry。在過去三季,沒有人在換防後去守Harden比Curry更多了,而且那並不
是湊巧。
Aside from splashing all those 3s, the defining trait of the Warriors dynasty
might be the tendency to switch defensive assignments. The Rockets try to
exploit that tendency by hunting and isolating mismatches more than any other
rival.
勇士除了那如浪花般撲天蓋地的三分球外,另外一個特色就是他們會做換防補位。火箭則
是利用勇士換防補位,找出比其他隊伍來的多的多防守錯位後單打。
Look at the switching data from last season's epic seven-game series in the
Western Conference finals. It's clear which defender Harden and the Rockets
were targeting:
來看一下去年西冠7戰的統計資料,很明顯的可以看出Harden跟火箭是在針對誰:
2018 West Finals: Defending Harden
DEFENDER(防守者) SWITCHES(換防)
Stephen Curry 83
Kevon Looney 26
Draymond Green 24
Jordan Bell 23
Klay Thompson 5
Nick Young 5
Curry switched onto Harden as many times as the next five Warriors combined.
Why? Because it works. The numbers are staggering.
Curry換防去守Harden的次數比其他五個勇士球員加起來的總數還要多,為什麼呢?因為有
用,數據就是這麼驚人。
Dating back to the 2016-17 season, more than 5,000 unique NBA player duos
have matched up at least 100 times. But within that massive sample, Harden
vs. Curry produces the most extreme stats.
從2016-17球季到現在,超過100次防守對決以上的話,總共有約5000對球員組合,而在那
5000多個組合,Harden vs Curry這組合的數據非常驚人。
Lest you think I'm exaggerating, consider these four factoids, via Second
Spectrum tracking:
看看下面四個狀況數據:
‧No other matchup elicits a higher usage rate by the offensive player
‧No other matchup is more likely to include a drive
‧Only three other matchups produce free throws at a higher rate
‧Only six other matchups yield more points for the offensive player
‧沒有其他的組合攻擊方對防守方的球員使用率比Harden-Curry組高
‧沒有其他的組合攻擊方會運球切入比Harden-Curry組高
‧只有三組其他的組合比Harden-Curry組有更多的罰球比率
‧只有六組其他組合攻擊方得分比Harden-Curry組多
Out of more than 5,000.
5000多組裡面就是他們這組。
Harden vs. Curry is the wildest analytical matchup in the NBA, especially
when you consider the stakes involved. After all, these are two MVPs and
scoring champs battling for Western supremacy.
Harden vs Curry是NBA裡最讓人興奮值得分析的組合,尤其考慮到整個NBA受到他們影響的
層面。畢竟,這兩位都是MVP,都是得分高手,都為了登上西區巔峰。
When you compare Harden's key matchup numbers with other Golden State
defenders, you quickly understand why Houston designs sets to target Curry:
而當去比較Harden跟勇士主要球員的對決時,更可以了解為何Harden設計好要打點Curry:
Harden Vs. GSW (2016-17 To Present)
DEFENDER USAGE RATE DRIVE RATE FT RATE POINTS
(防守者) (使用率) (切入率) (罰球率) 得分
Stephen Curry 50.7 43.0 20.7 54.1
Draymond Green 36.4 21.0 4.8 33.3
Kevin Durant 34.1 15.9 6.5 37.0
Klay Thompson 26.5 20.4 5.9 27.9
Andre Iguodala 25.7 20.0 9.7 17.2
Harden is much more aggressive and much more fruitful against Curry than
against any other Warriors player. His usage rate surges to 50.7 -- right
around the average for an NBA Jam game, but a cartoonish number for any
real-life environment.
Harden對上Curry,比起對上其他勇士球員,顯得更有侵略性,結果也比較好。他的使用率
高達50.7趴,差不多是電動NBA Jam的平均數字,但是對於真正的比賽來說,是高的不可思
議。
With Curry on him, Harden is more than twice as likely to drive the ball to
the hoop and get to the free throw line.
當Curry守Harden時,Harden比起對上其他勇士球員有兩倍以上機率可以切入上籃或是上罰
球線。
影片支援:
https://twitter.com/i/status/1001296487240945664
The other guys in that table are either strong enough or long enough to
dissuade Harden's aggression, but Curry is slight and short compared to his
teammates, and he is much less able to slow Harden's rim attacks.
其他勇士球員相較Curry來說,比他高或手長,較可以抵擋Harden的侵略性,也因此Curry
比較沒辦法擋下Harden攻擊籃框。
While it's tempting to interpret these data as indictments of Curry's
defense, there's something else happening here. It just so happens that all
of the other defenders in that table are world-class, and Houston's tendency
to isolate and attack Curry at freakish rates says just as much about its
respect for those other dudes as it does about Curry. Isolating Curry isn't
Houston's best choice, it's really the Rockets' only chance.
當然解讀這數據很讓人感到刺激,似乎可以當作Curry防守不佳的證據,但是,這數據裡還
藏了別的東西。因為剛好這表裡面的其他防守者都是一等一的,而火箭挑Curry單打奇高的
比率其實也是其他隊伍對Curry做的事是一樣的。單打Curry不是火箭最好的選擇,而是唯
一的選擇。
Watching the Rockets these days is an exercise in repetition. They love to
isolate Harden over and over and over. But against Golden State, that
bread-and-butter tactic really makes sense only against Curry or the
Warriors' slower bigs such as Kevon Looney. Plus, when Curry is defending
Harden, that means dudes such as Andre Iguodala, Kevin Durant and Klay
Thompson are busy stifling Houston's secondary scorers, further establishing
Harden vs. Curry as the best option available.
最近看火箭打球像是不斷的重複,他們就是愛不停讓Harden去單打。而當面對勇士時,最
好的攻擊策略當然是打Curry或是勇士動作較慢的大個子像是Kevon Looney。在加上,當是
Curry在守Harden的時候,這代表了其他球員像是Andre Iguodala,Kevin Durant跟Klay
Thompson正在忙著壓制火箭的第二輪得分守,那就讓Harden vs Curry這樣的策略顯得是最
佳選擇了。
More than any other defender he faces in the NBA, Harden sees Curry as a
pathway to points. Even though Harden averages 48 points per 100 possessions,
that number fluctuates a ton depending on the defender, according to Second
Spectrum data. Thompson holds Harden to 20 fewer points when he is the
primary defender. But against Curry, Harden surges. In the 2018 playoffs,
Harden poured in 58 points per 100 possessions against Curry, and a
disproportionate amount of those points came from the free throw line.
相較Harden面對NBA裡面其他的防守者,Harden把Curry視作得分的方式。Harden每100次球
權,平均得分是48分,在面對不同防守者的狀況下會有些起伏。根據Second Spectrum的資
料,若Klay Thompson是主要防守Harden的人的話,Harden得分會下降近20。但是若是
Curry防守他的話,分數就飆高了。在2018年季後賽,每100次球權對上Curry防守,Harden
可以得到58分,而且有不成比例的得分來自於罰球。
圖片支援:
https://imgur.com/vN4ZyiV.jpg
Over the past three seasons, Harden has matched up against 42 individual
players at least 100 times, but none results in free throws as frequently as
the Curry showdown, per Second Spectrum. Of that group of Harden defenders,
Iguodala has done the best work against The Beard, holding him to 17.2 points
per 100 possessions on a 21.0 effective field goal percentage. Those are
atrocious numbers for Harden, but they serve as another reminder that
Iguodala is one of Golden State's most powerful defensive weapons come
playoff time.
在過去三季,防守Harden超過一百次的球員總共有42個,沒有一個球員讓Harden拿到像
Curry防守他時那樣高的罰球數。而在那42個球員裡,Iguodala是守的最好的,每100次球
權只讓Harden拿到17.2分,有效命中率是21.0趴。這樣的數據對Harden來說糟透了,不過
這也提醒了大家,Iguodala是勇士隊在季後賽時最有威力的防守武器之一。
Still, while the numbers leave little doubt that Harden dominates his
individual matchups against Curry, basketball remains a team game. Curry
seems more than content to win the wars -- and the titles.
當然,這些數據顯示Harden吃定了Curry,不過,籃球仍舊是個團隊的比賽。Curry似乎仍
是信心滿滿會贏下比賽--以及最後的冠軍。
--
今天火勇戰精彩可期
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標題 [公告] NBA 板 開始舉辦樂透!
4、雙十 = 兩隊四節打完107比107進入延長賽
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