[外絮] Leonard可稱為是新的'季後賽版LBJ'

本篇是作者在G6前作的 用BPM分析球員季後賽跟例行賽的表現差異 蠻有趣的 BY Owen Phillips https://reurl.cc/ebKg7 Playoff Kawhi Leonard Is The New Playoff LeBron James 可愛可稱為是新的'季後賽版LBJ' This year’s NBA postseason has been a striking reminder of the difference between regular season and playoff basketball, particularly with respect to individual performance. The three finalists for the MVP award — James Harden, Giannis Antetokounmpo and Paul George — all failed to match their production from the regular season in this year’s playoffs. On the other end of the spectrum is Kawhi Leonard, who after “load-managing” his way through the regular season, is now considered one of, if not the, best basketball players alive and has the Toronto Raptors one win away from their first NBA championship. (That win could come Thursday night in Game 6 in Oakland.) 今年季後賽讓我們對例行賽和季後賽的不同更印象深刻--特別是個人表現，本季MVP前三 :字母、鬍子跟PG，季後賽的表現都不如例賽，跟這些人不同光譜的是Leonard，在本季 例行賽的'負荷管理'後，現在被認為是現役地表最強的球員之一，他可能在G6為暴龍 贏下第一座總冠 Before this year, LeBron James was the often-cited case of the rare player who took his already outstanding game to an even higher level in the playoffs. But during this year’s postseason, it’s Leonard, the two-way force of nature, who has become the go-to example of a player who seemingly flips a switch and magically turns into a better version of himself once the playoffs start. 今年之前，LBJ是把例賽變態數據又在季後賽更上層樓的最佳例子，但今年是可愛， 攻防兼具的本色，他可以神奇地在季後賽開始時切換到更好的版本 During the regular season, Leonard posted a +5.0 box plus/minus (BPM), a catch-all stat designed to capture a player’s all-around impact. Leonard’s regular season BPM was 15th best in the league. But in the playoffs, Leonard’ s BPM has risen to +9.0, tied for second-best among all postseason players. 今年例賽，可愛的BPM是+5，這是個能大略掌握球員各方面能力的數據，可愛的例賽BPM 排行聯盟第15，但季後賽這個數字飆到+9，是聯盟第二 It’s rare to see a player of Leonard’s stature lift his BPM at all in the playoffs. Of the 15 players that had a regular season BPM of +5.0 or better,1 only Leonard and Nikola Jokic increased their output in the playoffs. It’s even rarer to see someone as productive as Leonard lift his BPM by as much as he did. 這類球員特別在季後賽爆發的例子不多，聯盟前15例賽BPM的球員只有可愛跟Jokic在季後 賽數字上升而非下滑，像可愛例賽跟季後賽提升這麼多的更是罕見 Leonard’s BPM playoff bump — +4 — is tied for the 16th largest increase since the NBA-ABA merger among players that logged at least 2,000 regular season minutes and 500 playoff minutes in a single year. Some other players to increase their BPM by at least 4.0 points include Hakeem Olajuwon during the 1997 playoffs, Tim Duncan during his 2003 title run and LeBron James during his 2016 title run, to name a few. 可愛季後賽的BPM足足多了4.0，這個增長的數字是聯盟自NBA跟ABA合併以來2000+季賽 上場分鐘、500+季後賽上場分鐘的第16名，其他增長超過4的有1997的大夢、2003的TD、 2016的LBJ And this isn’t anything new for Leonard: He’s been upping his game in the postseason ever since he came into the league as a role player with the San Antonio Spurs. 這對可愛來說不是新鮮事，他本來就有季後賽爆發的傾向，即使是在馬刺還不是一哥時 Below is a similar chart to the first, but this time we’re looking at career performance — comparing a player’s career average BPM in the regular season to their career average BPM in the playoffs since the merger in 1977. (In order to make sure our sample consists of players who played often in both the regular season and deep into the playoffs, each player’s career average BPM has been weighted by both their minutes played in the regular season and playoffs.2 This gives us a better representative sample of players to compare Leonard’s career against.) 以下是整個生涯的數字，自從1977以來每個球員季後賽跟例賽的BPM XY圖(為了確保數字 精確，球員例賽跟季後賽都要打得夠久，我們根據上場時間做調整，這樣能更好的對比 可愛的生涯) https://imgur.com/xzvsrsH.jpg X軸為例行賽 Y軸季後賽 Most of the players that have a similar career BPM in the regular season to Leonard are right at or just below the dotted line, meaning they either get worse during the playoffs or at best they don’t improve. The few players who buck that trend include Michael Jordan, LeBron, Olajuwon and Leonard himself. Each of these players consistently dominated the league in the regular season and even more so in the playoffs. 大部分的球員都在平均線的右下方，代表季後賽大多球員表現不如例賽，但是有些球員 相反:Jordan、LBJ、大夢和可愛，這些人持續的在例行賽統治聯盟，然後季後賽再度變身 超級賽亞人 The players with the biggest difference between their regular season and playoff career BPM tend to be toward the middle of the pack in regular season BPM for the simple reason that the lower a player’s regular season number, the more room they have to improve their playoff production. Still, despite having one of the higher career BPMs in the regular season, Leonard ranks sixth on the list. The players in front of him are Isiah Thomas (the Pistons legend, not the other more recent one), Draymond Green, Rajon “Playoff” Rondo, Derek Fisher and Robert “Big Shot Bob” Horry. Those are the type of guys Green was referring to when he talked about the difference between 82-game players and 16-game players. REG. SEASON PLAYOFFS PLAYER MINUTES BPM MINUTES BPM DIFF. Isiah Thomas 35,516 +2.8 4,216 +6.4 +3.6 Draymond Green 14,979 +3.8 4,332 +6.5 +2.7 Rajon Rondo 26,119 +2.4 3,944 +4.6 +2.2 Robert Horry 27,069 +2.8 6,823 +4.8 +2.0 Derek Fisher 32,719 -0.8 6,856 +1.1 +1.9 Kawhi Leonard 14,404 +5.7 3,806 +7.4 +1.8 Boris Diaw 28,768 +1.1 3,144 +2.8 +1.7 Ron Harper 31,199 +2.2 3,000 +3.8 +1.6 Hakeem Olajuwon 44,222 +5.4 5,749 +7.1 +1.6 Michael Cooper 23,635 +1.1 4,744 +2.7 +1.6 Vinnie Johnson 24,308 +0.0 2,671 +1.6 +1.5 Michael Jordan 41,011 +8.7 7,474 +10.2 +1.5 Bryon Russell 19,805 +2.4 3,081 +3.8 +1.4 LeBron James 46,235 +9.7 10,049 +11.1 +1.4 Tayshaun Prince 31,576 +1.1 4,977 +2.4 +1.3 有的球員是季後賽數字比例行賽好看很多，但也許是部分球員在例賽表現不怎麼樣， 到季後賽他們提升的空間就大很多了，可愛在這個生涯榜名列第六，前五是笑笑湯、 嘴綠、Rondo、Fisher跟Horry(很顯然季賽沒全力打的是Horry跟Fisher) Regardless of whether the Raptors ultimately finish off the Golden State Warriors and win the NBA title, Leonard’s performance this postseason will instill dread in opposing fan bases of “Playoff Kawhi” for years to come. Leonard wasn’t kidding when he referred to the 82 games during the regular season as “practice” and that the “playoffs is when it’s time to lace them up.” 無論暴龍有沒有贏勇士，可愛今年的表現足以讓敵對球迷將來稱呼他為'季後賽可愛'， 可愛把82場稱作'練習'並不是在開玩笑，季後賽可愛的確會'束緊神經' ---- 單季季後賽大爆發 果然有03年TD 生涯季後賽習慣性爆發:Jordan 大夢 笑笑湯 //分隔線// 老漁 Horry 跟印象差不多XD -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc), 來自: 110.28.7.180 (臺灣) ※ 文章網址: https://www.ptt.cc/bbs/NBA/M.1560499713.A.AA7.html