[翻譯] 酒鬼2019季前預覽

翻到一半才知道，這文章主要是給Fantasy Baseball的玩家看的 2019 Milwaukee Brewers Season Preview: Can they go beyond their 2018 achievements? 2019釀酒人賽季預覽，他們能超越2018的表現嗎? Yahoo團隊 Yahoo Sports Mar 21, 2019, 1:49 PM In case you didn't pay attention to baseball in 2018, you might have missed this: The Milwaukee Brewers are good. Really good, in fact. Like, made-it-to-the-NLCS-and-pushed-the-Dodgers-to-seven-games good. 話說在前頭以免你2018沒看棒球，密爾瓦基釀酒人很強 事實上、非常強。大概像打進 國聯冠軍戰，還跟道奇纏鬥到第七戰這麼強。 And the Brewers' offseason moves have them looking even better. 然後酒鬼季後的動作讓他們看起來甚至更強了 The Brewers won the NL Central last year with their potent bullpen and an MVP performance from Christian Yelich. After adding Yasmani Grandal as their new catcher and re-signing Mike Moustakas and moving him to second base, the Brewers’ lineup is stacked. 去年酒鬼憑藉著鐵牛棚與幫主的MVP表現贏得了國聯中區冠軍。在簽下新捕手Grandal和 簽回Moose把他移防到二壘後，酒鬼打線可說是富到流油 The only question mark is the starting pitching, where there's no eye-popping ace. However, it's mostly the same group that got it done last year, so doubting the Brewers at this point might be futile. The bullpen — led by the versatile Josh Hader and closer Corey Knebel — can more than pick up the slack. 唯一的問題是先發投手沒有明顯的王牌。但是這同一批人馬去年就做到了，所以在這個 時間點擔心也沒用。牛棚由萬能的Hader與終結者Knebel領軍，他們能做到的事遠超過 收拾殘局。 The Brewers are deep, versatile and dangerous, whether we're talking about reality or fantasy. And they might just be the best team in the NL Central. 無論我們在講的是現實還是FB，酒鬼都既有深度、全面、並且危險。他們大概是國聯 中區最好的隊伍。 Brewers' offseason grade The Brewers made upgrades, some unexpected. They weren't, for example, the team you expected to sign Grandal. But they also didn't do a ton to upgrade their starting pitching, which seems to be their only weakness. As we said above, they have proven they can win with what they have, but it still would have been a way to improve the team's path to victory in a tough NL. 酒鬼做了些升級，儘管出乎意料。例如他們簽下了Grandal，然後也沒有在唯一的缺點 、先發陣容上做出補強。但正如我們剛提到的，他們已經證明可以用現有的陣容贏球， 但是這依然是在競爭激烈的國聯取得勝利的一種方法。 There have been rumors lately that they're interested in signing Craig Kimbrel, which could make that daunting bullpen even better and perhaps even lessen the importance of their starters, so watch for that. 有八卦說最近他們想簽下金寶讓這令人害怕的牛棚變得更誇張，甚至可能讓先發投手的 重要性降低，這是需要注意的。 Our grade: C+ — But a Kimbrel signing would definitely change that. - Mike Oz Brewers’ projected lineup and pitching staff 打線預測 實際開季打線 1. Lorenzo Cain, CF 1. Lorenzo Cain, CF 2. Christian Yelich, RF 2. Christian Yelich, RF 3. Jesus Aguilar, 1B 3. Ryan Braun, LF 4. Travis Shaw, 3B 4. Travis Shaw, 3B 5. Ryan Braun, LF 5. Jesus Aguilar, 1B 6. Mike Moustakas, 2B 6. Mike Moustakas, 2B 7. Yasmani Grandal, C 7. Yasmani Grandal, C 8. Orlando Arcia, SS 8. Orlando Arcia, SS 輪值預測 實際先發輪值 1. Jhoulys Chacin 1. Jhoulys Chacin 2. Chase Anderson 2. Freddy Peralta 3. Zach Davis 3. Brandon Woodruff 4. Corbin Burnes 4. Corbin Burnes 5. Freddy Peralta 5. Zach Davis 門神預測 ....唉 Corey Knebel Josh Hader Who will be Milwaukee's best fantasy buy? The Brewers have productive, proven vets at nearly every position, so we generally have a pretty decent idea of the appropriate fantasy price for each player. Jesús Aguilar may have been a revelation last year, but he won't surprise anyone in 2019. Still, this squad offers a few well-priced fantasy commodities. It's tough not to love catcher Yasmani Grandal at his current Yahoo ADP (144.4). Grandal is going 90 picks later than J.T. Realmuto and 85 picks later than Gary Sánchez, but his end-of-season value could easily top either backstop. Let's remember that he's hit at least 22 homers in each of the last three seasons and he's moving to a friendlier hitting/power environment. - Andy Behrens 酒鬼幾乎在每個位置都有高產並且經過驗證的老手，所以我們對每個人的FB價值都算有 個合理的評價。Aguilar去年可能是個天啟，但今年就嚇不到人了。這支球隊提供了不 少價格合理的FB貨品選擇。在目前Yahoo平均選秀順位144.4這個部分，我們很難忽略 捕手Grandal。他比真木頭晚了90個順位，比Sanchez晚了85個順位，但他的在這個站位 的季末價值很可能可以輕鬆擠進前幾名。不要忘記過去三季都最少轟了22支，然後他正 要換到一個對打者有利的球場。 What is Milwaukee’s biggest fantasy question? Again, we don't have many burning questions with this collection of reliable veterans. It's fair to wonder, however, if Christian Yelich can possibly approach last season's value. We're drafting the reigning MVP in the middle of the first round (ADP 8.3), almost as if another 36 homer-110 RBIs-118 run-22 steals-.326 campaign is guaranteed. And maybe it is. There's little doubt that Yelich is going to rake; he's likely to again approach 100 runs and RBIs, assuming good health. But he's always been a line-drive/ground-ball hitter and we can't reasonably expect him to produce another HR/FB rate like last year's (35.0). Most projection systems have him slipping back into the mid-20s in home runs. Hopefully fantasy owners will be content if he simply delivers a 100-25-100-18-.310 sort of season. 同樣的，我們對於這些可靠的老將並沒有太大的疑問，但可以合理的懷疑Yelich能不能 逼近上一季的數字。我們在第一輪的中段選進這位衛冕MVP，像是他可以保證再一次提供 36轟 110打點 118得分 22盜 .326打率的數字。這也許可能，大家對於這點沒有疑慮。 只要健康沒有問題，他看起來又會提供差不多百分百打點的數字。但是他一直以來都是 個平飛/滾地球打者，我們不能期待他複製上季.35 全壘打/飛球的比率。大部分的預測 都落在二十幾轟的範圍。希望FB owner可以滿意於差不多百得分 25轟 百打點 18盜 .310打率的球季。 We should probably also question Aguilar's potential in 2019, since he was so ordinary in the second-half last year (11 HR, .245/.324/.436). Fantasy owners aren't paying a silly price for his services, however (ADP 82.0). It's also worth noting that Aguilar always hit for power in the minors, including a 30-homer season at Triple-A in 2016. He may not match last season's value, but he'll remain a power asset. -Andy Behrens 我們也可以懷疑Aguilar在2019的潛力，因為他下半季的表現普通。 FB持有者們不會 為了這個數字給出平均82順位的高價。同樣值得注意的是，他在小聯盟一直是個強打 者，像2016他在3A給了30轟。他大概不會維持上季的價值，但仍然是個能開轟的貨。 Brewers’ prospect to watch Every prospect analyst agrees that second baseman Keston Hiura can hit. The only question is how soon will be allowed to show off those skills in the majors? He's the type of hitter who could move quickly, so a jump straight from Double-A wouldn't be all that surprising. If the Mike Moustakas experiment at second doesn't work out, the Brewers already have a strong replacement waiting in the wings. - Chris Cwik 每個新秀預測都同意二壘手Hiura能打，唯一的問題是他甚麼時候能升上來展現技巧。 他是個有辦法快速升上來的打者，所以從2A直升大聯盟不是不可能。如果Moose移到 二壘試不通，這邊有人已經等著上菜了 Things that MUST go right for Milwaukee 以下屁話懶得翻 1. Rotation comes together: The Brewers pitching staff finished top five (3.73 ERA) last season despite not having a true ace. The setup looks similar entering 2019, meaning Counsell and company will need to piece things together effectively. On the plus side, they should have enough depth to field a competitive rotation. Despite losing Wade Miley in free agency, the Brewers have Jhoulys Chacín, Chase Anderson, Zach Davies, Brandon Woodruff, Corbin Burnes, Freddy Peralta, Junior Guerra, and a a returning Jimmy Nelson in the mix. On the down side, that group doesn't figure to chew up innings. They better, or the bullpen will be taxed again. 輪值要能撐 2. Mike Moustakas fits in at second: To make room for Moustakas' return, the Brewers will shift him to second base full time in 2019. It's a big change for a 30-year-old who's played almost exclusively at third base during his professional career. It's a defensive sacrifice that Milwaukee is willing to make because of Moustakas' offensive production, and one they might be able to mask some by using shifts and hopefully striking out a lot of batters. At least, they better hope so. Moose能守二壘 3. Ryan Braun is productive: Heading into his age-35 season, it's clear Braun's best years are behind him. Last season, he slashed .254/.313/.469 in 447 plate appearances with 20 homers, 25 doubles, 64 RBIs and 59 runs scored. Honestly, those aren't bad numbers, but they might be the baseline for what Milwaukee will need from him to keep the offense fully functional. If Braun can't reach those marks, they might have to weaken their bench by playing Eric Thames and Hernán Pérez more in his place. - Mark Townsend Braun能有表現 If this team had a walk-up song, what would it be? The biggest thing for the Brewers this year is just keeping that same energy from 2018 that got them to the NLCS. Yelich, Cain, the bullpen, Jesus Aguilar — if they can all be like their 2018 selves, the Brewers will be good. As Three 6 Mafia would tell you, the Brewers just need to “Stay Fly.” - Mike Oz -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc), 來自: 68.174.203.202 ※ 文章網址: https://www.ptt.cc/bbs/Brewers/M.1554647031.A.B78.html