[花邊] 球員表現與薪資的匹配度(溢價or超值)

https://x.com/aop_nba/status/1777743208933384221 Latest update of EPM merged with player salaries ^ The more the player has outperformed their contract v The more the player has underperformed their contract > The higher the player’s actual contract is Thoughts? 二月多的時後有發過一篇 #1bs26Wdz (NBA) 最近又更新了 橫軸是球員本季至今的薪資 縱軸是球員表現經EPM計算所應拿的薪資 藍色表示超值 紅色表示溢價 ^ 球員的表現超出其合約的價值 v 球員的表現未達到其合約的價值 > 球員實際合約薪資越高 大家對此有什麼看法？ https://i.imgur.com/u1piQVE.jpg 二月的圖： https://i.imgur.com/At0eVeH.jpg Some notes on how this was done and how to interpret it: 一些關於如何完成此事以及如何解讀它的註解： To create this I merged EPM data from @taylor_snarr’s excellent site (dunksandt hrees) with salary data from @spotrac. 為了創見這個，我將來自@taylor_snarr的優秀網站dunksandthrees中的EPM數據，與來自@s potrac的新資數據合併。 Right off the bat…obviously a player’s value can never be accurately determine d by one composite metric, otherwise building a team would be super simple. That being said, it still can provide some insight. 首先 很明顯，一個綜合指標永遠無法準確判斷一位球員的價值，否則建立一個隊伍將會 變得非常簡單。儘管如此，它仍然可以提供一些觀察。 Players on rookie deals (most of the top left) have a greater chance outperformi ng their contracts be default. 對於還再跑新秀合約的球員（大多位在左上角），通常有更大的機會超越其合約價值。 Injuries obviously play a role (ex. Ja Morant). It is an unfortunate reality, bu t still a reality. Another example is Joel Embiid, who has having a historic sea son and outperforming his contract by a huge margin all year until he missed the last two months. 傷病顯然扮演了巨大的角色（例如Ja Morant）。這是一個不幸的現實，但就是現實。另一 個例子是Joel Embiid，他在整個賽季都有著歷史性的表現，並且一直大幅超出他的合約價 值，直到錯過了近兩個月。 Being in a negatives does not mean a player is having a bad season. Example, Ste ph Curry. All it suggests is that Curry’s value is closer to ~$49M than ~$52M t his season. 處於溢價區並不意味著該球員有一個糟糕的賽季。例如，Steph Curry。這只是表示他的價 值在此計算下，更接近49M。 The analysis tends to hurt players with big contracts playing a smaller role thi s season, Jrue Holiday and Beal are examples of that. 這項分析不利於扮演較小角色的高薪球員，Jrue Holiday和Bradley Beal就是這樣的例子。 想看更細節的每支球隊結果在以下連結： https://x.com/aop_nba/status/1777762629911707695 -- ※ 發信站: 批踢踢實業坊(ptt.cc), 來自: 1.162.140.241 (臺灣) ※ 文章網址: https://www.ptt.cc/bbs/NBA/M.1712754352.A.0D4.html